Risk dilemmas, forced choices and survival, Mark Jablonowski
Type
Creator
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Content
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Mapped to
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Label
Risk dilemmas, forced choices and survival, Mark Jablonowski
Language
eng
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references and index
Index
index present
Literary form
non fiction
Main title
Risk dilemmas
Nature of contents
bibliography
Oclc number
535486661
Responsibility statement
Mark Jablonowski
Sub title
forced choices and survival
Table of contents
A review of high-stakes risk criteria. Formalizing risky decisions. The expected value criterion. Decision criteria when probability is unknown, or irrelevant. Conditions of indifference between fatalism and precaution. A fuzzy representation of danger -- Finding alternatives to risk. The preactionary approach. Identifying alternatives using backcasting. Backcasting under uncertainty. Backcasting versus backtracking. Maintaining the balance of life. Contrasting the "post-fact" approach. Cost/ benefit and post-fact risk management. Avoiding mechanistic precaution. Risk acceptance--risk avoidance--risk anticipation -- Risk avoidance : all or nothing. How risk grows. Why prioritization fails. Pragmatic arguments for not adding risks. Satisfying the burden of proof. A possibilistic model of catastrophic potentials. Is there a "natural" level of risk. On the notion of "selective fatalism." Selective fatalism and dilemmas. The "tolerability" compromise -- Precaution in context. The hallmarks of precaution. Context and risk acceptance criteria. The problem of valuation. Inter-contextual effects of precaution. Alternatives assessment across contexts. The need for coordinated goals. A reassessment of risk assesssment. Using risk assessments the right way. Identifying high-stakes risks and their mechanisms. Decision theoretic models. Integrating fuzzy risk thresholds -- Can we avoid risk dilemmas? The only two options. Facing the paradox of progress. Risk dilemmas and self-interest. The prospect of "infinite disutility." The need for a wider approach to science. Radical rethinking. Science to the rescue? The dangers of giving up -- Summary and conclusion (of sorts). Understanding high-stakes decision processes. Making precaution work. How do current regimes compare? Doing the right thing. Who will lead the way?
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