Coverart for item
The Resource Energy, economic growth, and geopolitical futures : eight long-range scenarios, Evan Hillebrand and Stacy Closson

Energy, economic growth, and geopolitical futures : eight long-range scenarios, Evan Hillebrand and Stacy Closson

Label
Energy, economic growth, and geopolitical futures : eight long-range scenarios
Title
Energy, economic growth, and geopolitical futures
Title remainder
eight long-range scenarios
Statement of responsibility
Evan Hillebrand and Stacy Closson
Creator
Contributor
Author
Subject
Language
eng
Summary
This book presents eight varied scenarios of possible global futures, emphasizing the interconnectedness of three drivers of change: energy prices, economic growth, and geopolitics. Other published global future scenarios focus on only one of these factors, viewing, for example, economic growth as unaffected by energy prices or energy prices in isolation from geopolitical conditions. In this book, Evan Hillebrand and Stacy Closson offer a new approach to scenario construction that acknowledges the codependence of these key drivers and integrates qualitative analysis with a quantitative model. The eight scenarios represent possible combinations of high or low energy prices, strong or weak economic growth, and global harmony or disharmony across three time periods: the 2010s, 2020 to 2040, and 2040 to 2050. The Regional Mercantilism scenario, for example, envisions high energy prices, weak economic growth, and global disharmony. To impose numerical consistency across scenarios, Hillebrand and Closson employ the International Futures (IFs) model developed by Barry Hughes. (Interested readers can download this interactive model to alter or build scenarios themselves.) Assessing the probability of each scenario, they conclude that increased U.S. energy supply and the sustainability of the Chinese growth miracle are the most significant drivers over the next forty years.--
Assigning source
Provided by Publisher
Cataloging source
DLC
http://library.link/vocab/creatorName
Hillebrand, Evan E
Illustrations
illustrations
Index
index present
Literary form
non fiction
Nature of contents
bibliography
http://library.link/vocab/relatedWorkOrContributorDate
1971-
http://library.link/vocab/relatedWorkOrContributorName
Closson, Stacy
http://library.link/vocab/subjectName
  • Economic development
  • Energy development
  • Geopolitics
Label
Energy, economic growth, and geopolitical futures : eight long-range scenarios, Evan Hillebrand and Stacy Closson
Instantiates
Publication
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references and index
Carrier category
volume
Carrier category code
  • nc
Carrier MARC source
rdacarrier.
Content category
text
Content type code
  • txt
Content type MARC source
rdacontent.
Control code
FIEb17663222
Dimensions
24 cm.
Extent
xiv, 230 pages
Isbn
9780262028899
Media category
unmediated
Media MARC source
rdamedia.
Media type code
  • n
Other physical details
illustrations
System control number
  • (NhCcYBP) 2014034247
  • (OCoLC)890377644
Label
Energy, economic growth, and geopolitical futures : eight long-range scenarios, Evan Hillebrand and Stacy Closson
Publication
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references and index
Carrier category
volume
Carrier category code
  • nc
Carrier MARC source
rdacarrier.
Content category
text
Content type code
  • txt
Content type MARC source
rdacontent.
Control code
FIEb17663222
Dimensions
24 cm.
Extent
xiv, 230 pages
Isbn
9780262028899
Media category
unmediated
Media MARC source
rdamedia.
Media type code
  • n
Other physical details
illustrations
System control number
  • (NhCcYBP) 2014034247
  • (OCoLC)890377644

Library Locations

    • Badia FiesolanaBorrow it
      Via dei Roccettini 9, San Domenico di Fiesole, 50014, IT
      43.803074 11.283055
Processing Feedback ...